Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 150.879352 172.780916 197.275490 226.796477 261.536985 301.273374 350.382474
2025-11-02 120.981047 149.377459 184.035587 229.823184 289.278556 364.628878 468.564464
2025-11-09 104.098660 135.432927 176.095400 233.472502 313.548684 423.146161 587.664446
2025-11-16 91.156112 123.547707 167.665267 233.292112 330.425738 472.128458 700.644113
2025-11-23 81.225605 113.931039 160.332245 232.544129 345.012874 518.569419 817.030989
2025-11-30 74.117666 107.178413 155.826420 234.688973 363.380528 572.596781 954.866195
2025-12-07 65.775688 97.516566 145.644512 226.354000 363.318415 596.066877 1044.160458
2025-12-14 60.041473 91.136829 139.647452 223.682598 371.792455 634.615849 1167.522446
2025-12-21 56.275969 87.400443 137.325607 226.621719 390.042088 692.935235 1340.404313
2025-12-28 54.259348 86.233307 138.982915 236.457456 421.892864 781.516158 1594.340804
2026-01-04 51.698004 83.875534 138.319414 241.942555 446.189181 859.242071 1842.974775
2026-01-11 48.152942 79.496777 133.677886 239.435693 454.348235 905.088217 2029.179598
2026-01-18 45.771145 77.243960 133.144047 245.828522 483.992729 1007.733720 2395.724439
2026-01-25 43.113060 74.283362 131.088302 249.176923 508.408686 1105.469294 2786.092693
2026-02-01 40.823966 71.744675 129.499630 253.184746 534.920484 1214.077229 3244.711281
2026-02-08 38.293353 68.492459 126.154147 252.986698 551.745869 1302.709349 3677.917252
2026-02-15 35.959812 65.388061 122.752107 252.165371 566.919004 1390.651484 4143.336487
2026-02-22 34.171595 63.174439 120.900510 254.520637 590.326057 1506.567948 4750.219571
2026-03-01 31.476043 58.919508 114.406602 245.369730 582.828179 1533.626668 5054.630402
2026-03-08 29.588064 56.140297 110.753577 242.437842 591.250816 1609.820059 5578.209728
2026-03-15 28.379761 54.652115 109.717177 245.663581 617.004304 1745.820744 6405.669863
2026-03-22 27.848108 54.526737 111.640098 256.462856 666.166514 1970.679800 7733.628545
2026-03-29 26.978763 53.603639 111.679387 262.488150 702.766361 2164.840036 9040.846216